Latest Update：2021/07/13 17:08:10

KUMAGAI Naoki

Researcher Name: KUMAGAI Naoki

Div (Section) name/title: Center for Climate Change Adaptation（Climate Change Impacts Monitoring Research Section）／Researcher

Research Subject: Statistical modeling and inference on changes in the distribution pattern and mechanisms of coastal communities, particularly in macroalgal beds and coral reefs

Degree(s): Doctor of Philosophy in Science

Professional Qualification(s): Science,Biology

Environmental Speciality Field: coastal ecosystems,global warming,benthic organisms

Keyword(s): monitoring,statistical modeling,bayesian inference,GIS,R language,survey by diving,field experiments,coral reef ecosystems,macrophyte ecosystems,metapopulation

Membership of Academic Society: Ecological Society of Japan,Japanese Coral Reef Society,Japanese Association of Benthology,The Japanese Society of Phycology (JSP)

Research Subject

Fiscal Year: 2020
- 25127 : Center for Climate Change Adaptation (CCCA)
- 25327 : Studies on Advancing the Methods for Climate Change Impacts Assessment
- 25392 : Statistical modeling on population dynamics and extermination of the crown-of-thorns seaster
- 25406 : Analysis and adaptation strategy on ecological and social consequences of tropicalization in coastal ecosystems
- 25415 : Technical development and adaptation strategy to find local environmental threshold for coral reef conservation under high CO2 age
- 25427 : Environmental modeling of coral bleaching occurrence
- 25429 : Evaluating the effectiveness of red-soil runoff reduction in Okinawa Prefecture
- 25430 : Projection and evaluation of natural capital and services of marine ecosystems to climate change
- 25432 : Research into Observation, Monitoring and Detection of Climate Change and Resultant Impacts
Fiscal Year: 2019
- 24757 : Center for Climate Change Adaptation (CCCA)
- 24784 : Projection and evaluation of natural capital and services of marine ecosystems to climate change
- 24785 : Climate change impacts on ecosystems and ecosystem services for conservation areas
- 24975 : Studies on Advancing the Methods for Climate Change Impacts Assessment
- 24985 : Analysis and adaptation strategy on ecological and social consequences of tropicalization in coastal ecosystems
- 24993 : Technical development and adaptation strategy to find local environmental threshold for coral reef conservation under high CO2 age
- 24995 : Statistical modeling on population dynamics and extermination of the crown-of-thorns seaster
- 25056 : Research into Observation, Monitoring and Detection of Climate Change and Resultant Impacts
- 25057 : Environmental modeling of coral bleaching occurrence
- 25058 : Evaluating the effectiveness of red-soil runoff reduction in Okinawa Prefecture
Fiscal Year: 2018
- 24340 : Climate Change Strategy Collaboration Office
Fiscal Year: 2017
- 24139 : Projection and evaluation of natural capital and services of marine ecosystems to climate change
Fiscal Year: 2016
- 23597 : Statistical modeling on population dynamics and extermination of the crown-of-thorns seaster
- 23728 : Assessment of multiple effects of climate change on coastal marine ecosystem
Fiscal Year: 2015
- 23316 : Assessment of multiple effects of climate change on coastal marine ecosystem
- 23323 : Statistical modeling on population dynamics and extermination of the crown-of-thorns seastar
Fiscal Year: 2014
- 22832 : Assessment of multiple effects of climate change on coastal marine ecosystem
Fiscal Year: 2013
- 22511 : Assessment of multiple effects of climate change on coastal marine ecosystem
- 22548 : Statistical modeling on population dynamics of the crown-of-thorns seastar

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Research Result (Publication)

all
Original Paper
Other Publications

Original Paper
Coupling high-resolution coral bleaching modeling with management practices to identify areas for conservation in a warming climate: Keramashoto National Park (Okinawa Prefecture, Japan)

Presenter : Abe H., Kumagai N., Yamano H., Kuramoto Y.
Title : , Science of the Total Environment, 790(148094): (2021)
Original Paper
Climate-induced species range shift and local adaptation strategies in a temperate marine protected area, Ashizuri-Uwakai National Park, Shikoku Island, western Japan

Presenter : Abe H., Suzuki H., Kitano Y., Kumagai N., Mitsui S., Yamano H.
Title : , Ocean and Coastal Management, 210(105744): (2021)
Original Paper
Data on coral species occurrences in Japan since 1929

Presenter : Kitano Y.F., Hongo C., Yara Y., Sugihara K., Kumagai N.H., Yamano H.
Title : , Ecological Research, 2020:1-11 (2020)
Original Paper
Distribution gradient of fucoid algae (Sargassaceae, Phaeophyta) along the coastline of Okinawa Island, southern Japan: relationship to environmental factors

Presenter : Abe H., Suzuki H., Kumagai N., Yamano H.
Title : , Regional Studies in Marine Science, 40(101526): (2020)
Quantitative records of habitat-forming seaweedsfound in Japanese temperate and subtropical zones(fucoids and kelps)

Presenter : Arita K., Suzuki H., Yamano H., Yabe T., Kumagai N.
Title : , Ecological Research, 35:967-974 (2020)
Original Paper
Valuation of coral reefs in Japan: Willingness to pay for conservation and the effect of information

Presenter : Imamura K., Takano K.T., Kumagai N., Yoshida Y., Yamano H., Fujii M., Nakashizuka T., Managi S.
Title : , Ecosystem Services, 46:101166 (2020)
Original Paper
Effects of temperature and red tides on sea urchin abundance and species richness over 45 years in southern Japan

Presenter : Ohgaki Shun-Ichi, Kato T., Kobayashi N., Tanase H., Kumagai N., Ishida S., Nakano T., Wada Y., Yusa Y.
Title : , Ecological Indicators, 96:684-693 (2019)
Original Paper
Maternal inheritance of F1 hybrid morphology and colony shape in the coral genus Acropora

Presenter : Fukami H., Iwao K., Kumagai N., Morita M., Isomura N.
Title : , PeerJ, 7:e6429 (2019)
Original Paper
Photosynthesis and growth of Ulva ohnoi and Ulva pertusa (Ulvophyceae) under high light and high temperature conditions, and implications for green tide in Japan

Presenter : Nakamura M., Kumagai N., Tamaoki M., Arita K., Ishii Y., Nakajima H., Yabe T.
Title : , Phycological Research (2019)
Original Paper
High-resolution modeling of thermal thresholds and environmental influences on coral bleaching for local and regional reef management

Presenter : Kumagai N., Yamano H., Sango-Map-Project C.
Title : , PeerJ, 6:e4382 (2018)
Original Paper
Ocean currents and herbivory drive macroalgae-to- coral community shift under climate warming

Presenter : Kumagai N., Garcia-Molinos J., Yamano H., Takao S., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Title : , Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 115(36):8990-8995 (2018)
Original Paper
Declaration of local chemical eradication of the Argentine ant: Bayesian estimation with a multinomial-mixture model

Presenter : Sakamoto Y., Kumagai N., Goka K.
Title : , Scientific Reports (2017)
Original Paper
Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan’s Marine Protected Areas

Presenter : Garcia Molinos J., Takao S., Kumagai N., Poloczanska E.S., Burrows M.T., Fujii M., Yamano H.
Title : , Global Change Biology, 23(10):4440-4452 (2017)
Original Paper
Intraspecific variations in responses to ocean acidification in two branching coral species

Presenter : Sekizawa A., Uechi H., Iguchi A., Nakamura T., Kumagai N., Suzuki A., Sakai K., Nojiri Y.
Title : , Marine Pollution Bulletin, 122:282-287 (2017)
Other Publications
Need for Systematic Statistical Tools for Decision-Making in Radioactively Contaminated Areas

Presenter : Matsuzaki S., Kumagai N., Hayashi T.
Title : , Environmental Science Technology, 50:1075-1076 (2016)
Original Paper
Habitat-forming seaweeds in Japan (fucoids and temperate kelps)

Presenter : Kumagai N., Yamano H., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Title : , Ecological Research, 31(6):759 (2016)
Original Paper
Using long-term removal data to manage a Crown-of-Thorns Starfish population

Presenter : Nakamura M., Higa Y., Kumagai N., Okaji K.
Title : , Diversity, 8(4):24 (2016)
Original Paper
Identification of important marine areas around the Japanese Archipelago: Establishment of a protocol for evaluating a broadarea using ecologically and biologically significant areas selection criteria

Presenter : Yamakita T., Yamamoto H., Nakaoka M., Yamano H., Fujikura K., Hidaka K., Hirota Y., Ichikawa T., Kakehi S., Kameda T., Kitajima S., Kogure, K., Komatsu T., Kumagai N., Miyamoto H., MIyashita K., Morimoto H., Nakajima R., Nishida S., Nishiuchi K., Sakamoto S., Sano M., Sudo K., Sugisaki H., Tadokoro K., Tanaka K., Jintsu-Uchifune Y., Watanabe K., Watanabe H., Yara Y., Yotsukura N., Shirayama Y.
Title : , Marine Polocy, 51:136-147 (2015)
Original Paper
Projecting the impacts of rising seawater temperatures on the distribution of seaweeds around Japan under multiple climate change scenarios

Presenter : Takao S., Kumagai N., Yamano H., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Title : , Ecology and Evolution, 5(1):213-223 (2015)
Original Paper
An improved estimation of the poleward expansion of coral habitats based on inter-annual variation of sea surface temperatures

Presenter : Takao S., Yamano H., Sugihara K., Kumagai N., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Title : , Coral Reefs, 34:1125-1137 (2015)
Original Paper
Spatial variability in recruitment of acroporid corals and predatory starfish along the Onna coast, Okinawa, Japan

Presenter : Nakamura M., Kumagai N., Sakai K., Okaji K., Ogasawara K., Mitarai S.
Title : , Marine Ecology Progress Series, 540:1-12 (2015)
Original Paper
Negative effects of ocean acidification on two crustose coralline species using genetically homogeneous samples

Presenter : Kato A., Hikami M., Kumagai N., Suzuki A., Nojiri Y., Sakai K.
Title : , Marine Environmental Research, 94:1-6 (2014)
Original Paper
Responses of calcification of massive and encrusting corals to past, present, and near-future ocean carbon dioxide concentrations

Presenter : Iguchi A., Kumagai N., Nakamura T., Suzuki A., Sakai K.
Title : , Marine Pollution Bulletin, 89:348-355 (2014)

View all

Coupling high-resolution coral bleaching modeling with management practices to identify areas for conservation in a warming climate: Keramashoto National Park (Okinawa Prefecture, Japan)

Presenter : Abe H., Kumagai N., Yamano H., Kuramoto Y.
Title : , Science of the Total Environment, 790(148094): (2021)
Climate-induced species range shift and local adaptation strategies in a temperate marine protected area, Ashizuri-Uwakai National Park, Shikoku Island, western Japan

Presenter : Abe H., Suzuki H., Kitano Y., Kumagai N., Mitsui S., Yamano H.
Title : , Ocean and Coastal Management, 210(105744): (2021)
Data on coral species occurrences in Japan since 1929

Presenter : Kitano Y.F., Hongo C., Yara Y., Sugihara K., Kumagai N.H., Yamano H.
Title : , Ecological Research, 2020:1-11 (2020)
Distribution gradient of fucoid algae (Sargassaceae, Phaeophyta) along the coastline of Okinawa Island, southern Japan: relationship to environmental factors

Presenter : Abe H., Suzuki H., Kumagai N., Yamano H.
Title : , Regional Studies in Marine Science, 40(101526): (2020)
Valuation of coral reefs in Japan: Willingness to pay for conservation and the effect of information

Presenter : Imamura K., Takano K.T., Kumagai N., Yoshida Y., Yamano H., Fujii M., Nakashizuka T., Managi S.
Title : , Ecosystem Services, 46:101166 (2020)
Effects of temperature and red tides on sea urchin abundance and species richness over 45 years in southern Japan

Presenter : Ohgaki Shun-Ichi, Kato T., Kobayashi N., Tanase H., Kumagai N., Ishida S., Nakano T., Wada Y., Yusa Y.
Title : , Ecological Indicators, 96:684-693 (2019)
Maternal inheritance of F1 hybrid morphology and colony shape in the coral genus Acropora

Presenter : Fukami H., Iwao K., Kumagai N., Morita M., Isomura N.
Title : , PeerJ, 7:e6429 (2019)
Photosynthesis and growth of Ulva ohnoi and Ulva pertusa (Ulvophyceae) under high light and high temperature conditions, and implications for green tide in Japan

Presenter : Nakamura M., Kumagai N., Tamaoki M., Arita K., Ishii Y., Nakajima H., Yabe T.
Title : , Phycological Research (2019)
High-resolution modeling of thermal thresholds and environmental influences on coral bleaching for local and regional reef management

Presenter : Kumagai N., Yamano H., Sango-Map-Project C.
Title : , PeerJ, 6:e4382 (2018)
Ocean currents and herbivory drive macroalgae-to- coral community shift under climate warming

Presenter : Kumagai N., Garcia-Molinos J., Yamano H., Takao S., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Title : , Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 115(36):8990-8995 (2018)
Declaration of local chemical eradication of the Argentine ant: Bayesian estimation with a multinomial-mixture model

Presenter : Sakamoto Y., Kumagai N., Goka K.
Title : , Scientific Reports (2017)
Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan’s Marine Protected Areas

Presenter : Garcia Molinos J., Takao S., Kumagai N., Poloczanska E.S., Burrows M.T., Fujii M., Yamano H.
Title : , Global Change Biology, 23(10):4440-4452 (2017)
Intraspecific variations in responses to ocean acidification in two branching coral species

Presenter : Sekizawa A., Uechi H., Iguchi A., Nakamura T., Kumagai N., Suzuki A., Sakai K., Nojiri Y.
Title : , Marine Pollution Bulletin, 122:282-287 (2017)
Habitat-forming seaweeds in Japan (fucoids and temperate kelps)

Presenter : Kumagai N., Yamano H., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Title : , Ecological Research, 31(6):759 (2016)
Using long-term removal data to manage a Crown-of-Thorns Starfish population

Presenter : Nakamura M., Higa Y., Kumagai N., Okaji K.
Title : , Diversity, 8(4):24 (2016)
Identification of important marine areas around the Japanese Archipelago: Establishment of a protocol for evaluating a broadarea using ecologically and biologically significant areas selection criteria

Presenter : Yamakita T., Yamamoto H., Nakaoka M., Yamano H., Fujikura K., Hidaka K., Hirota Y., Ichikawa T., Kakehi S., Kameda T., Kitajima S., Kogure, K., Komatsu T., Kumagai N., Miyamoto H., MIyashita K., Morimoto H., Nakajima R., Nishida S., Nishiuchi K., Sakamoto S., Sano M., Sudo K., Sugisaki H., Tadokoro K., Tanaka K., Jintsu-Uchifune Y., Watanabe K., Watanabe H., Yara Y., Yotsukura N., Shirayama Y.
Title : , Marine Polocy, 51:136-147 (2015)
Projecting the impacts of rising seawater temperatures on the distribution of seaweeds around Japan under multiple climate change scenarios

Presenter : Takao S., Kumagai N., Yamano H., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Title : , Ecology and Evolution, 5(1):213-223 (2015)
An improved estimation of the poleward expansion of coral habitats based on inter-annual variation of sea surface temperatures

Presenter : Takao S., Yamano H., Sugihara K., Kumagai N., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Title : , Coral Reefs, 34:1125-1137 (2015)
Spatial variability in recruitment of acroporid corals and predatory starfish along the Onna coast, Okinawa, Japan

Presenter : Nakamura M., Kumagai N., Sakai K., Okaji K., Ogasawara K., Mitarai S.
Title : , Marine Ecology Progress Series, 540:1-12 (2015)
Negative effects of ocean acidification on two crustose coralline species using genetically homogeneous samples

Presenter : Kato A., Hikami M., Kumagai N., Suzuki A., Nojiri Y., Sakai K.
Title : , Marine Environmental Research, 94:1-6 (2014)
Responses of calcification of massive and encrusting corals to past, present, and near-future ocean carbon dioxide concentrations

Presenter : Iguchi A., Kumagai N., Nakamura T., Suzuki A., Sakai K.
Title : , Marine Pollution Bulletin, 89:348-355 (2014)

View all

Need for Systematic Statistical Tools for Decision-Making in Radioactively Contaminated Areas

Presenter : Matsuzaki S., Kumagai N., Hayashi T.
Title : , Environmental Science Technology, 50:1075-1076 (2016)

View all

Research Result (Presentation)

all
Research Presentation
Research Lecture

Research Lecture
Community shifts from macroalgae to corals under climate warming: Underlying processes and adaptation strategies

Presenter : Kumagai N., Garcia Molinos J., Yamano H., Takao S., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : PICES-2019 Annual Meeting (2019)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Research Presentation
Ocean currents and herbivory drive macroalgae-to-coral community shift under climate warming

Presenter : Kumagai N., García Molinos J., Yamano H., Takao S., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : 12th International Temperate Reef Symposium (2019)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Research Presentation
The coral killing sponge Terpios hoshinota at Amamioshima Island, the northernmost outbreak

Presenter : Fujii T., Kumagai N.
Name of Society : 4th-Asia-Pacific Coral Reef Symposium (2018)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Research Presentation
The morphology of F1 hybrids of the coral genus Acropora in the Indo-Pacific

Presenter : Fukami H., Iwao K., Kumagai N., Morita M., Isomura N.
Name of Society : 4th-Asia-Pacific Coral Reef Symposium (2018)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Research Presentation
High-resolution modeling of thermal thresholds and environmental influences on coral bleaching for local and regional reef management

Presenter : Kumagai N., Yamano H., Sango-Map-Project C.
Name of Society : 4th Asia-Pacific Coral Reef Symposium (2018)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Research Presentation
Ocean currents and herbivory drive macroalgae-to-coral community shift under climate warming

Presenter : Kumagai N., Garcia-Molinos J., Yamano H., Takao S., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : 4th International SymposiumThe Effects of Climate Change on the World’s Oceans (2018)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Research Presentation
Dominance shift from macroalgae to corals across coastal communities: roles of climate change, ocean currents and herbivory

Presenter : Kumagai N., Garcia-Molinos J., Yamano H., Takao S., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : International Mini-Symposium: Spatiotemporal dynamics of aquatic organisms in a changing world (2018)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Research Presentation
Combined Effects of Ocean Warming and Coastal Environmpents on the Distribution of Habitat-forming Seaweeds

Presenter : Kumagai N., Takao S., Yamano H., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : The 7th International Conference on Water Resources and Environment Research (ICWRER2016) (2016)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Research Presentation
Gaps between future distribution of corals and marine use/spatial planning around Japanese Archipelago

Presenter : Yamakita T., Yasuda N., Tsujino M., Kumagai N., Yamano H.
Name of Society : 13th International Coral Reef Symposium (2016)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts, 378
Research Presentation
Population dynamics of the Crown-of-Thorns Starfish along the west coast of Okinawa Island viewed from long-term removal data

Presenter : Nakamura M., Higa Y., Kumagai N., Okaji K.
Name of Society : 13th International Coral Reef Symposium (2016)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts, 241
Research Presentation
Degradation of seaweed beds and expansion of coral reefs in Japanese subtidal rocky habitats under current and near-future climates

Presenter : Kumagai N., Takao S., Yamano H., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : Biological range shifts in response to climate change (Organized by the Environmental Research and Technology Development (S-9) of Ministry of the Environment, Japan, and Kanto branch of Ecological Society of Japan) (2015)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Research Presentation
Near future projection of ocean warming-induced seaweed deforestation in Japanese coastal areas

Presenter : Takao S., Kumagai N., Yamano H., FUjii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : 17th Ocean Sciences Meeting (2014)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts

View all

Ocean currents and herbivory drive macroalgae-to-coral community shift under climate warming

Presenter : Kumagai N., García Molinos J., Yamano H., Takao S., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : 12th International Temperate Reef Symposium (2019)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
The morphology of F1 hybrids of the coral genus Acropora in the Indo-Pacific

Presenter : Fukami H., Iwao K., Kumagai N., Morita M., Isomura N.
Name of Society : 4th-Asia-Pacific Coral Reef Symposium (2018)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Ocean currents and herbivory drive macroalgae-to-coral community shift under climate warming

Presenter : Kumagai N., Garcia-Molinos J., Yamano H., Takao S., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : 4th International SymposiumThe Effects of Climate Change on the World’s Oceans (2018)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Dominance shift from macroalgae to corals across coastal communities: roles of climate change, ocean currents and herbivory

Presenter : Kumagai N., Garcia-Molinos J., Yamano H., Takao S., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : International Mini-Symposium: Spatiotemporal dynamics of aquatic organisms in a changing world (2018)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Combined Effects of Ocean Warming and Coastal Environmpents on the Distribution of Habitat-forming Seaweeds

Presenter : Kumagai N., Takao S., Yamano H., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : The 7th International Conference on Water Resources and Environment Research (ICWRER2016) (2016)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Gaps between future distribution of corals and marine use/spatial planning around Japanese Archipelago

Presenter : Yamakita T., Yasuda N., Tsujino M., Kumagai N., Yamano H.
Name of Society : 13th International Coral Reef Symposium (2016)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts, 378
Population dynamics of the Crown-of-Thorns Starfish along the west coast of Okinawa Island viewed from long-term removal data

Presenter : Nakamura M., Higa Y., Kumagai N., Okaji K.
Name of Society : 13th International Coral Reef Symposium (2016)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts, 241
Degradation of seaweed beds and expansion of coral reefs in Japanese subtidal rocky habitats under current and near-future climates

Presenter : Kumagai N., Takao S., Yamano H., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : Biological range shifts in response to climate change (Organized by the Environmental Research and Technology Development (S-9) of Ministry of the Environment, Japan, and Kanto branch of Ecological Society of Japan) (2015)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
The coral killing sponge Terpios hoshinota at Amamioshima Island, the northernmost outbreak

Presenter : Fujii T., Kumagai N.
Name of Society : 4th-Asia-Pacific Coral Reef Symposium (2018)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
High-resolution modeling of thermal thresholds and environmental influences on coral bleaching for local and regional reef management

Presenter : Kumagai N., Yamano H., Sango-Map-Project C.
Name of Society : 4th Asia-Pacific Coral Reef Symposium (2018)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
Near future projection of ocean warming-induced seaweed deforestation in Japanese coastal areas

Presenter : Takao S., Kumagai N., Yamano H., FUjii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : 17th Ocean Sciences Meeting (2014)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts

View all

Community shifts from macroalgae to corals under climate warming: Underlying processes and adaptation strategies

Presenter : Kumagai N., Garcia Molinos J., Yamano H., Takao S., Fujii M., Yamanaka Y.
Name of Society : PICES-2019 Annual Meeting (2019)
Name of Proceedings : Abstracts

View all

KUMAGAI Naoki

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